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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$1,292,518 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$1,292,518 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finland

Finland

$149,022 Vol.

98%

icon for Greece

Greece

$83,113 Vol.

88%

icon for Israel

Israel

$40,690 Vol.

88%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$73,861 Vol.

85%

icon for Australia

Australia

$41,431 Vol.

82%

icon for France

France

$46,934 Vol.

75%

icon for Romania

Romania

$62,258 Vol.

73%

icon for Italy

Italy

$42,767 Vol.

67%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$50,143 Vol.

67%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$44,444 Vol.

56%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$62,579 Vol.

46%

icon for Albania

Albania

$7,355 Vol.

37%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$19,592 Vol.

35%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$35,999 Vol.

34%

icon for Malta

Malta

$38,897 Vol.

26%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$25,327 Vol.

24%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$88,429 Vol.

23%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$88,974 Vol.

19%

icon for Poland

Poland

$26,220 Vol.

14%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$25,260 Vol.

12%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$4,014 Vol.

10%

icon for Norway

Norway

$17,537 Vol.

9%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$22,139 Vol.

8%

icon for Germany

Germany

$22,429 Vol.

6%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$15,035 Vol.

6%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$7,264 Vol.

5%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$8,651 Vol.

5%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$29,109 Vol.

4%

icon for Austria

Austria

$7,680 Vol.

3%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$15,893 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the first semi-final qualifiers confirmed yesterday from Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—Finland's powerhouse "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Sweden's Felicia "My System," Israel's entry, plus Belgium, Croatia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, and Serbia—trader consensus heavily favors these acts for top-10 finishes in Saturday's grand final, driven by dominant rehearsals, televote momentum, and jury appeal. Shocks like Montenegro's non-qualification underscore staging and song strength as key differentiators. The second semi-final tomorrow could add locks like Denmark frontrunners or upsets, while withdrawals by Ireland, Spain, and others over Israel's participation heighten geopolitical tension amid Austria's hosting. Final running order draws set the stage for voter splits.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,292,518
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the first semi-final qualifiers confirmed yesterday from Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—Finland's powerhouse "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Sweden's Felicia "My System," Israel's entry, plus Belgium, Croatia, Lithuania, Moldova, Poland, and Serbia—trader consensus heavily favors these acts for top-10 finishes in Saturday's grand final, driven by dominant rehearsals, televote momentum, and jury appeal. Shocks like Montenegro's non-qualification underscore staging and song strength as key differentiators. The second semi-final tomorrow could add locks like Denmark frontrunners or upsets, while withdrawals by Ireland, Spain, and others over Israel's participation heighten geopolitical tension amid Austria's hosting. Final running order draws set the stage for voter splits.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,292,518
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 98%, followed by "Greece" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Finland" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greece" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.