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icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

icon for Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

$3,160,141 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$3,160,141 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Albania

Albania

$63,895 Vol.

No

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$138,788 Vol.

Yes

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$163,036 Vol.

Yes

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$8,709 Vol.

No

icon for Germany

Germany

$49,526 Vol.

No

icon for Israel

Israel

$113,526 Vol.

Yes

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$6,910 Vol.

No

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$74,736 Vol.

No

icon for Poland

Poland

$77,890 Vol.

No

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$8,950 Vol.

No

icon for Australia

Australia

$139,935 Vol.

Yes

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$24,467 Vol.

No

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$151,726 Vol.

No

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$109,573 Vol.

No

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$36,196 Vol.

No

icon for Finland

Finland

$324,204 Vol.

Yes

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$32,791 Vol.

No

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$16,955 Vol.

No

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$18,913 Vol.

No

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$94,757 Vol.

No

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$43,624 Vol.

No

icon for Austria

Austria

$29,117 Vol.

No

icon for Greece

Greece

$211,046 Vol.

Yes

icon for Italy

Italy

$123,624 Vol.

Yes

icon for Malta

Malta

$109,590 Vol.

No

icon for Romania

Romania

$159,617 Vol.

Yes

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$149,240 Vol.

No

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$30,914 Vol.

No

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$119,665 Vol.

Yes

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$46,243 Vol.

No

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$122,322 Vol.

No

icon for France

France

$153,983 Vol.

No

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$118,070 Vol.

Yes

icon for Norway

Norway

$67,843 Vol.

No

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$19,758 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has anchored trader sentiment for the Eurovision 2026 top 10 as the clear frontrunner entering the May 16 Vienna final, buoyed by consistent semifinal strength, high rehearsal scores, and its classic Eurovision blend of dramatic violin and anthemic energy. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry “Eclipse” surged into second place after strong jury rehearsals and preshow buzz, while Bulgaria’s late surge with “Bangaranga” and Greece’s “Ferto” tightened the battle for mid-pack positions. Ongoing boycotts tied to Israel’s participation and several last-minute withdrawals narrowed the field, heightening the value of recent chart momentum and live performance data as key resolution signals for remaining top-10 spots.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$3,160,141
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s “Liekinheitin” by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has anchored trader sentiment for the Eurovision 2026 top 10 as the clear frontrunner entering the May 16 Vienna final, buoyed by consistent semifinal strength, high rehearsal scores, and its classic Eurovision blend of dramatic violin and anthemic energy. Australia’s Delta Goodrem entry “Eclipse” surged into second place after strong jury rehearsals and preshow buzz, while Bulgaria’s late surge with “Bangaranga” and Greece’s “Ferto” tightened the battle for mid-pack positions. Ongoing boycotts tied to Israel’s participation and several last-minute withdrawals narrowed the field, heightening the value of recent chart momentum and live performance data as key resolution signals for remaining top-10 spots.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$3,160,141
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bulgaria" at 100%, followed by "Denmark" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 10," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" is "Bulgaria" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denmark" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 10" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.