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icon for Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

icon for Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

$120,344 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$120,344 Vol.

Polymarket

Itzy

$31,861 Vol.

100%

Twice

$14,564 Vol.

83%

NewJeans

$134 Vol.

55%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 2026's packed K-pop comeback calendar, headlined by confirmed full-group returns from juggernauts like BTS with their March 20 album ARIRANG—marking the first post-military hiatus release—and EXO's January REVERXE, reigniting third-generation momentum after years of subunit activity. BLACKPINK's anticipated full album and world tour, teased via YG updates, alongside SHINee and MAMAMOO's June schedule teases, drive high implied probabilities for established acts, buoyed by agencies' aggressive quarterly release strategies amid global streaming surges. Uncertainty lingers for unannounced groups, hinging on contract renewals and member availability; watch mid-May agency fanmeets and Forbes' Q2/Q3 calendars for shifts, as K-pop's rapid promotional cycles can pivot odds overnight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$120,344
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 2026's packed K-pop comeback calendar, headlined by confirmed full-group returns from juggernauts like BTS with their March 20 album ARIRANG—marking the first post-military hiatus release—and EXO's January REVERXE, reigniting third-generation momentum after years of subunit activity. BLACKPINK's anticipated full album and world tour, teased via YG updates, alongside SHINee and MAMAMOO's June schedule teases, drive high implied probabilities for established acts, buoyed by agencies' aggressive quarterly release strategies amid global streaming surges. Uncertainty lingers for unannounced groups, hinging on contract renewals and member availability; watch mid-May agency fanmeets and Forbes' Q2/Q3 calendars for shifts, as K-pop's rapid promotional cycles can pivot odds overnight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$120,344
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Itzy" at 100%, followed by "Babymonster" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?" has generated $120.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?" is "Itzy" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Babymonster" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.