Strong second-weekend results and favorable tracking have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-72 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend. The film posted a record $360 million domestic opening followed by a $144 million second frame, pushing the domestic cume past $700 million faster than any prior title while maintaining solid word-of-mouth metrics and minimal direct competition. Analysts project a 50-60% drop from the prior weekend, producing a $57-72 million window, with early third-Friday data supporting the higher end. Historical superhero legs and ongoing audience engagement favor outcomes near or above 70 million, though any sharper drop could shift momentum toward the lower bins before the weekend closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 63.3%
68-70m 20.6%
72m+ 17.5%
66-68m 2.9%
$26,422 Vol.
$26,422 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
2%
66-68m
3%
68-70m
15%
70-72m
63%
72m+
18%
70-72m 63.3%
68-70m 20.6%
72m+ 17.5%
66-68m 2.9%
$26,422 Vol.
$26,422 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$8,104 Vol.
2%
66-68m
$6,982 Vol.
3%
68-70m
$5,535 Vol.
15%
70-72m
$3,115 Vol.
63%
72m+
$2,936 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend results and favorable tracking have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-72 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend. The film posted a record $360 million domestic opening followed by a $144 million second frame, pushing the domestic cume past $700 million faster than any prior title while maintaining solid word-of-mouth metrics and minimal direct competition. Analysts project a 50-60% drop from the prior weekend, producing a $57-72 million window, with early third-Friday data supporting the higher end. Historical superhero legs and ongoing audience engagement favor outcomes near or above 70 million, though any sharper drop could shift momentum toward the lower bins before the weekend closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$26,422End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong second-weekend results and favorable tracking have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-72 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend. The film posted a record $360 million domestic opening followed by a $144 million second frame, pushing the domestic cume past $700 million faster than any prior title while maintaining solid word-of-mouth metrics and minimal direct competition. Analysts project a 50-60% drop from the prior weekend, producing a $57-72 million window, with early third-Friday data supporting the higher end. Historical superhero legs and ongoing audience engagement favor outcomes near or above 70 million, though any sharper drop could shift momentum toward the lower bins before the weekend closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$26,422End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong second-weekend results and favorable tracking have anchored trader sentiment around the 70-72 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend. The film posted a record $360 million domestic opening followed by a $144 million second frame, pushing the domestic cume past $700 million faster than any prior title while maintaining solid word-of-mouth metrics and minimal direct competition. Analysts project a 50-60% drop from the prior weekend, producing a $57-72 million window, with early third-Friday data supporting the higher end. Historical superhero legs and ongoing audience engagement favor outcomes near or above 70 million, though any sharper drop could shift momentum toward the lower bins before the weekend closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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