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icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

icon for How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Ended: Aug 18

Sep 22

Ended: Aug 18

Sep 22

$6,579 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$6,579 Vol.

Polymarket

15M+

$778 Vol.

Yes

18M+

$698 Vol.

Yes

20M+

$389 Vol.

Yes

22M+

$403 Vol.

Yes

25M+

$150 Vol.

Yes

27M+

$919 Vol.

Yes

32M+

$3,242 Vol.

Yes

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The surge of new August releases on Netflix, including the sci-fi thriller The Last House starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, is the main driver shaping expectations for this week's #1 movie views. As a fresh original, it has quickly climbed charts with strong initial engagement metrics, outpacing holdovers and licensed titles like Spider-Man entries. Traders monitor weekly Tudum rankings closely, since view counts reflect global streaming hours rather than just U.S. performance, and competition from upcoming drops such as Don't Say Good Luck (Aug 14) or Freefall (Aug 19) could accelerate or dilute the leader's totals. Historical patterns show originals often peak early before audience fatigue sets in, making the next chart update a key swing factor.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,579
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The surge of new August releases on Netflix, including the sci-fi thriller The Last House starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura, is the main driver shaping expectations for this week's #1 movie views. As a fresh original, it has quickly climbed charts with strong initial engagement metrics, outpacing holdovers and licensed titles like Spider-Man entries. Traders monitor weekly Tudum rankings closely, since view counts reflect global streaming hours rather than just U.S. performance, and competition from upcoming drops such as Don't Say Good Luck (Aug 14) or Freefall (Aug 19) could accelerate or dilute the leader's totals. Historical patterns show originals often peak early before audience fatigue sets in, making the next chart update a key swing factor.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

This market will not consider hours viewed.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie has a views figure greater than or equal to the specified amount, according to Netflix. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,579
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15M+" at 100%, followed by "18M+" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" is "15M+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18M+" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.