Don't Say Good Luck has surged to a 100% market-implied probability of claiming the #2 global Netflix movie spot this week thanks to its August 14 release, strong 97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and the built-in audience from Adam Sandler’s Happy Madison production and Sunny Sandler’s lead role. Fresh teen dramedy buzz, positive early audience scores, and typical new-release viewing spikes have driven trader consensus on its chart trajectory ahead of holdovers. An upset remains possible if another title posts an unexpected late-week surge in views or if regional performance data shifts rankings before the weekly lock, though the film’s momentum makes that scenario unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Don't Say Good Luck 100.0%
The Last House <1%
72 Hours <1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners <1%
$14,999 Vol.
$14,999 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
The Last House
No
72 Hours
No
In the Land of Saints and Sinners
No
Spider-Man: Far from Home
No
Don't Say Good Luck
Yes
Minions
No
Don't Say Good Luck 100.0%
The Last House <1%
72 Hours <1%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners <1%
$14,999 Vol.
$14,999 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
The Last House
$579 Vol.
No
72 Hours
$1,398 Vol.
No
In the Land of Saints and Sinners
$1,570 Vol.
No
Spider-Man: Far from Home
$643 Vol.
No
Don't Say Good Luck
$9,901 Vol.
Yes
Minions
$908 Vol.
No
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck has surged to a 100% market-implied probability of claiming the #2 global Netflix movie spot this week thanks to its August 14 release, strong 97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and the built-in audience from Adam Sandler’s Happy Madison production and Sunny Sandler’s lead role. Fresh teen dramedy buzz, positive early audience scores, and typical new-release viewing spikes have driven trader consensus on its chart trajectory ahead of holdovers. An upset remains possible if another title posts an unexpected late-week surge in views or if regional performance data shifts rankings before the weekly lock, though the film’s momentum makes that scenario unlikely.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$14,999End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck has surged to a 100% market-implied probability of claiming the #2 global Netflix movie spot this week thanks to its August 14 release, strong 97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and the built-in audience from Adam Sandler’s Happy Madison production and Sunny Sandler’s lead role. Fresh teen dramedy buzz, positive early audience scores, and typical new-release viewing spikes have driven trader consensus on its chart trajectory ahead of holdovers. An upset remains possible if another title posts an unexpected late-week surge in views or if regional performance data shifts rankings before the weekly lock, though the film’s momentum makes that scenario unlikely.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$14,999End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Don't Say Good Luck has surged to a 100% market-implied probability of claiming the #2 global Netflix movie spot this week thanks to its August 14 release, strong 97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and the built-in audience from Adam Sandler’s Happy Madison production and Sunny Sandler’s lead role. Fresh teen dramedy buzz, positive early audience scores, and typical new-release viewing spikes have driven trader consensus on its chart trajectory ahead of holdovers. An upset remains possible if another title posts an unexpected late-week surge in views or if regional performance data shifts rankings before the weekly lock, though the film’s momentum makes that scenario unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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