Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend box office has settled into overwhelming trader consensus below $72 million because its massive $360 million opening and $145 million second frame have triggered the steep audience drop-off typical of summer tentpoles after initial hype peaks. Recent daily tracking, including midweek figures around $11 million, points to a 50%+ decline as word-of-mouth stabilizes and competition from newer releases pulls away casual viewers. Historical patterns for high-grossing Spider-Man entries show similar erosion by week three, while strong critical reception and domestic totals nearing $786 million have already extracted most front-loaded ticket sales. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unexpectedly robust word-of-mouth or promotional spikes that have yet to materialize in the latest data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office
<72m 94.8%
72-79m 3.7%
93m+ <1%
79-86m <1%
$42,561 Vol.
$42,561 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
95%
72-79m
4%
79-86m
<1%
86-93m
<1%
93m+
<1%
<72m 94.8%
72-79m 3.7%
93m+ <1%
79-86m <1%
$42,561 Vol.
$42,561 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<72m
$26,289 Vol.
95%
72-79m
$8,225 Vol.
4%
79-86m
$5,055 Vol.
<1%
86-93m
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
93m+
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend box office has settled into overwhelming trader consensus below $72 million because its massive $360 million opening and $145 million second frame have triggered the steep audience drop-off typical of summer tentpoles after initial hype peaks. Recent daily tracking, including midweek figures around $11 million, points to a 50%+ decline as word-of-mouth stabilizes and competition from newer releases pulls away casual viewers. Historical patterns for high-grossing Spider-Man entries show similar erosion by week three, while strong critical reception and domestic totals nearing $786 million have already extracted most front-loaded ticket sales. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unexpectedly robust word-of-mouth or promotional spikes that have yet to materialize in the latest data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$42,561End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend box office has settled into overwhelming trader consensus below $72 million because its massive $360 million opening and $145 million second frame have triggered the steep audience drop-off typical of summer tentpoles after initial hype peaks. Recent daily tracking, including midweek figures around $11 million, points to a 50%+ decline as word-of-mouth stabilizes and competition from newer releases pulls away casual viewers. Historical patterns for high-grossing Spider-Man entries show similar erosion by week three, while strong critical reception and domestic totals nearing $786 million have already extracted most front-loaded ticket sales. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unexpectedly robust word-of-mouth or promotional spikes that have yet to materialize in the latest data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$42,561End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend box office has settled into overwhelming trader consensus below $72 million because its massive $360 million opening and $145 million second frame have triggered the steep audience drop-off typical of summer tentpoles after initial hype peaks. Recent daily tracking, including midweek figures around $11 million, points to a 50%+ decline as word-of-mouth stabilizes and competition from newer releases pulls away casual viewers. Historical patterns for high-grossing Spider-Man entries show similar erosion by week three, while strong critical reception and domestic totals nearing $786 million have already extracted most front-loaded ticket sales. An upset into the $72–79 million range would require unexpectedly robust word-of-mouth or promotional spikes that have yet to materialize in the latest data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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