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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 97.2%

Tires: Season 3 2.5%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$48,966 Vol.

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 97.2%

Tires: Season 3 2.5%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$48,966 Vol.

icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$35,265 Vol.

97%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$9,525 Vol.

2%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$2,206 Vol.

1%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$654 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$512 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mourinho: Season 1

Mourinho: Season 1

$804 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 holds a commanding 97.2% implied probability because all eight episodes dropped simultaneously on Netflix on August 6, 2026, triggering the typical first-week binge surge for a returning YA romance with an established fanbase. Early Tudum coverage and cast interviews have amplified promotional momentum, while Netflix’s internal rankings already placed the season near the top of the U.S. chart in its debut week. Traders are pricing in continued audience engagement through the week ending August 23, consistent with historical patterns for similar genre drops. An upset would require a competing title—such as Tires Season 3 or a surprise limited series—to post unusually strong mid-week gains that overtake the Walter Boys totals before the ranking period closes, an outcome made less likely by the show’s established viewer loyalty and the short timeframe remaining.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$48,966
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 holds a commanding 97.2% implied probability because all eight episodes dropped simultaneously on Netflix on August 6, 2026, triggering the typical first-week binge surge for a returning YA romance with an established fanbase. Early Tudum coverage and cast interviews have amplified promotional momentum, while Netflix’s internal rankings already placed the season near the top of the U.S. chart in its debut week. Traders are pricing in continued audience engagement through the week ending August 23, consistent with historical patterns for similar genre drops. An upset would require a competing title—such as Tires Season 3 or a surprise limited series—to post unusually strong mid-week gains that overtake the Walter Boys totals before the ranking period closes, an outcome made less likely by the show’s established viewer loyalty and the short timeframe remaining.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$48,966
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 97%, followed by "Tires: Season 3" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $49K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tires: Season 3" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.