Multiple postponements since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader sentiment on the Doge-1 lunar CubeSat mission, with the rideshare payload now aligned to Intuitive Machines' IM-3 flight targeted for early 2027 rather than any remaining 2026 window. SpaceX manifest priorities favor higher-profile cargo and crewed flights, leaving the Dogecoin-funded satellite with limited confirmed slots and no recent official T-0 date. Historical patterns of repeated slips underscore the uncertainty, while any formal manifest update or launch pad assignment could quickly shift implied probabilities. Traders are watching Q1 2027 NASA CLPS reviews and SpaceX scheduling for clearer signals on whether the mission clears its next hurdle before year-end deadlines.