Extensive NASA JPL Center for Near-Earth Object Studies monitoring and ESA risk lists show no catalogued near-Earth objects capable of delivering 100 kilotons of TNT-equivalent atmospheric impact energy during 2026, driving the 96.2% market-implied probability of “No.” Sentry system assessments and Palermo-scale evaluations confirm negligible cumulative impact probabilities for objects in the relevant 10–50 meter size range over the next year, consistent with the low historical frequency of such events. While small, undiscovered meteoroids could still produce airbursts if their orbits align, current observational coverage and model consensus indicate this remains statistically unlikely before year-end resolution via the NASA fireball repository.