SpaceX's aggressive Falcon 9 turnaround cadence, driven by a dense Starlink manifest and missions like CRS-34, anchors trader expectations around 12–13 total launches for May 2026. Multiple Starlink deployments from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral have already occurred early in the month, with additional missions scheduled through May 23 and the Starship Flight 12 test window opening around May 19. Reusability enables rapid booster recovery and relaunch cycles, but variable weather at launch sites, range conflicts, and any technical holdups could shift outcomes toward 11 or fewer. The close split between 12 and 13 reflects confidence in the baseline schedule while factoring in realistic slippage risks before month-end.