Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C, underpinned by their five-time champion status, elite attacking depth via Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha, and Endrick, and high-possession qualifiers like a 3-0 win over Chile, despite crushing injury blows ruling out Rodrygo (ACL tear), Estêvão (hamstring), and Éder Militão (hamstring relapse requiring surgery) in recent weeks. Morocco commands 19% as the credible challenger, leveraging 2022 semifinal momentum, tactical discipline in CAF qualifiers (e.g., 2-0 at Zambia), and counter threats, though Achraf Hakimi's hamstring strain clouds their right flank. Scotland (4.9%) and Haiti (0.4%) lag as underdogs, with Scotland's dramatic late comebacks in UEFA play and Haiti's resilient CONCACAF clean sheets offering slim upset paths amid lopsided group dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.9%
Haiti <1%
$222,956 Vol.
$222,956 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.9%
Haiti <1%
$222,956 Vol.
$222,956 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C, underpinned by their five-time champion status, elite attacking depth via Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha, and Endrick, and high-possession qualifiers like a 3-0 win over Chile, despite crushing injury blows ruling out Rodrygo (ACL tear), Estêvão (hamstring), and Éder Militão (hamstring relapse requiring surgery) in recent weeks. Morocco commands 19% as the credible challenger, leveraging 2022 semifinal momentum, tactical discipline in CAF qualifiers (e.g., 2-0 at Zambia), and counter threats, though Achraf Hakimi's hamstring strain clouds their right flank. Scotland (4.9%) and Haiti (0.4%) lag as underdogs, with Scotland's dramatic late comebacks in UEFA play and Haiti's resilient CONCACAF clean sheets offering slim upset paths amid lopsided group dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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