Brazil's unmatched depth of attacking talent and historical pedigree as five-time World Cup winners position them as the clear frontrunners in Group C, reflected in their dominant 76.5% implied probability. Morocco's organized defensive structure, recent continental success, and experience from their 2022 quarterfinal run explain their solid 19% share as the most realistic challenger. Scotland and Haiti trail at 4.9% and 0.8% respectively, hampered by long absences from the tournament—Scotland since 1998 and Haiti since 1974—along with thinner squads that face steep challenges against Brazil's firepower and Morocco's tactical discipline in the June group stage matches across U.S. venues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.9%
Haiti <1%
$227,397 Vol.
$227,397 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 4.9%
Haiti <1%
$227,397 Vol.
$227,397 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's unmatched depth of attacking talent and historical pedigree as five-time World Cup winners position them as the clear frontrunners in Group C, reflected in their dominant 76.5% implied probability. Morocco's organized defensive structure, recent continental success, and experience from their 2022 quarterfinal run explain their solid 19% share as the most realistic challenger. Scotland and Haiti trail at 4.9% and 0.8% respectively, hampered by long absences from the tournament—Scotland since 1998 and Haiti since 1974—along with thinner squads that face steep challenges against Brazil's firepower and Morocco's tactical discipline in the June group stage matches across U.S. venues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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