The 2026 Georgia governor race between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms remains closely contested heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with current trader pricing near even odds and narrow margin probabilities. Recent polls, including a mid-September Rasmussen survey, show Jackson at 48% and Bottoms at 45% among likely voters, with 7% undecided and results falling within sampling error. Jackson has consolidated Republican support after defeating Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in the June runoff, while Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in May. Heavy self-funding by Jackson has driven substantial advertising volume, yet Bottoms maintains strength among core Democratic constituencies, particularly Black voters. Demographic divides along gender, age, and race lines, combined with Georgia’s history of narrow statewide contests, sustain the tight positioning. The scheduled October 6 town hall debate and final weeks of campaigning could shift turnout or undecided voters enough to widen the eventual margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJackson 0-3% 25%
Bottoms 0-3% 21%
Bottoms 3-6% 14%
Bottoms 12%+ 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Jackson 12%+
8%
Jackson 9-12%
<1%
Jackson 6-9%
4%
Jackson 3-6%
11%
Jackson 0-3%
25%
Bottoms 0-3%
21%
Bottoms 3-6%
15%
Bottoms 6-9%
8%
Bottoms 9-12%
8%
Bottoms 12%+
13%
Jackson 0-3% 25%
Bottoms 0-3% 21%
Bottoms 3-6% 14%
Bottoms 12%+ 13%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Jackson 12%+
$107 Vol.
8%
Jackson 9-12%
$82 Vol.
<1%
Jackson 6-9%
$107 Vol.
4%
Jackson 3-6%
$157 Vol.
11%
Jackson 0-3%
$844 Vol.
25%
Bottoms 0-3%
$1,741 Vol.
21%
Bottoms 3-6%
$238 Vol.
15%
Bottoms 6-9%
$102 Vol.
8%
Bottoms 9-12%
$196 Vol.
8%
Bottoms 12%+
$191 Vol.
13%
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Georgia governor race between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms remains closely contested heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with current trader pricing near even odds and narrow margin probabilities. Recent polls, including a mid-September Rasmussen survey, show Jackson at 48% and Bottoms at 45% among likely voters, with 7% undecided and results falling within sampling error. Jackson has consolidated Republican support after defeating Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in the June runoff, while Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in May. Heavy self-funding by Jackson has driven substantial advertising volume, yet Bottoms maintains strength among core Democratic constituencies, particularly Black voters. Demographic divides along gender, age, and race lines, combined with Georgia’s history of narrow statewide contests, sustain the tight positioning. The scheduled October 6 town hall debate and final weeks of campaigning could shift turnout or undecided voters enough to widen the eventual margin.
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Volume
$3,765End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Georgia governor race between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms remains closely contested heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with current trader pricing near even odds and narrow margin probabilities. Recent polls, including a mid-September Rasmussen survey, show Jackson at 48% and Bottoms at 45% among likely voters, with 7% undecided and results falling within sampling error. Jackson has consolidated Republican support after defeating Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in the June runoff, while Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in May. Heavy self-funding by Jackson has driven substantial advertising volume, yet Bottoms maintains strength among core Democratic constituencies, particularly Black voters. Demographic divides along gender, age, and race lines, combined with Georgia’s history of narrow statewide contests, sustain the tight positioning. The scheduled October 6 town hall debate and final weeks of campaigning could shift turnout or undecided voters enough to widen the eventual margin.
The 2026 first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,765End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Georgia governor race between Republican nominee Rick Jackson and Democratic nominee Keisha Lance Bottoms remains closely contested heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with current trader pricing near even odds and narrow margin probabilities. Recent polls, including a mid-September Rasmussen survey, show Jackson at 48% and Bottoms at 45% among likely voters, with 7% undecided and results falling within sampling error. Jackson has consolidated Republican support after defeating Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in the June runoff, while Bottoms secured the Democratic nomination outright in May. Heavy self-funding by Jackson has driven substantial advertising volume, yet Bottoms maintains strength among core Democratic constituencies, particularly Black voters. Demographic divides along gender, age, and race lines, combined with Georgia’s history of narrow statewide contests, sustain the tight positioning. The scheduled October 6 town hall debate and final weeks of campaigning could shift turnout or undecided voters enough to widen the eventual margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions