Democrats secured a decisive House majority in the November 3, 2026 midterms, flipping more than 40 Republican-held seats while Republicans gained only two. With 252 Democratic seats called and 161 Republican seats called as of November 10, 22 races remain uncalled—most previously held by Republicans. Trader consensus in the 175-179 bracket reflects expectations that final vote counts and certifications in those contests will add enough Republican holds to reach that range, consistent with historical patterns in close districts and the limited number of remaining competitive seats. Lower brackets carry minimal probability given current tallies, while higher brackets show negligible support. Certification timelines and any late shifts in uncalled districts remain the primary variables.