**Strong sustained demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs amid ongoing supply constraints is anchoring trader consensus around $7.00+ per GPU-hour by end of 2026.** Current on-demand medians sit near $6.69–$7.43 across providers, with spot and marketplace floors as low as $3.20–$3.75 and hyperscaler premiums reaching $14–$16. Persistent HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks, combined with large forward orders from hyperscalers, have kept availability tight through 2026, while AI training and inference workloads continue to absorb new capacity. Recent indices show modest upward pressure (+8% over 30 days in some transacted data), and deployments such as QumulusAI’s recent B200 handoff underscore active utilization. Traders appear to weigh the risk of only gradual supply relief against resilient demand, viewing a sharp drop below $7 as less likely in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7.00+ 56%
$6.50-$7.00 15.5%
$5.50-$6.00 6%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$77,806 Vol.
$77,806 Vol.
<$3.00
1%
$3.00-$3.50
3%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
5%
$4.50-$5.00
<1%
$5.00-$5.50
2%
$5.50-$6.00
6%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
16%
$7.00+
56%
$7.00+ 56%
$6.50-$7.00 15.5%
$5.50-$6.00 6%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$77,806 Vol.
$77,806 Vol.
<$3.00
1%
$3.00-$3.50
3%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
5%
$4.50-$5.00
<1%
$5.00-$5.50
2%
$5.50-$6.00
6%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
16%
$7.00+
56%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong sustained demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs amid ongoing supply constraints is anchoring trader consensus around $7.00+ per GPU-hour by end of 2026.** Current on-demand medians sit near $6.69–$7.43 across providers, with spot and marketplace floors as low as $3.20–$3.75 and hyperscaler premiums reaching $14–$16. Persistent HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks, combined with large forward orders from hyperscalers, have kept availability tight through 2026, while AI training and inference workloads continue to absorb new capacity. Recent indices show modest upward pressure (+8% over 30 days in some transacted data), and deployments such as QumulusAI’s recent B200 handoff underscore active utilization. Traders appear to weigh the risk of only gradual supply relief against resilient demand, viewing a sharp drop below $7 as less likely in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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