Strong AI compute demand continues to outpace incremental Blackwell B200 supply additions, anchoring trader consensus around sustained or higher rental rates by year-end. Current on-demand pricing spans roughly $3.50–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot or marketplace floors at $3.20–$3.75; Nebius’s announced 19% hike to $8.50 effective October 1 underscores supplier pricing power amid tight power, cooling, and data-center capacity. Recent 90-day stability at elevated levels, combined with long lead times for new clusters and hyperscaler premiums, supports the market-implied likelihood of $7.00+ outcomes while leaving room for modest softening if neocloud capacity accelerates faster than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$7.00+ 63%
$6.50-$7.00 8.6%
$5.50-$6.00 7%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$75,724 Vol.
$75,724 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
1%
$3.00-$3.50
3%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
4%
$4.50-$5.00
2%
$5.00-$5.50
2%
$5.50-$6.00
7%
$6.00-$6.50
6%
$6.50-$7.00
9%
$7.00+
63%
$7.00+ 63%
$6.50-$7.00 8.6%
$5.50-$6.00 7%
$6.00-$6.50 6%
$75,724 Vol.
$75,724 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
$3,166 Vol.
1%
$3.00-$3.50
$3,487 Vol.
3%
$3.50-$4.00
$3,973 Vol.
4%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,516 Vol.
4%
$4.50-$5.00
$11,716 Vol.
2%
$5.00-$5.50
$8,487 Vol.
2%
$5.50-$6.00
$6,700 Vol.
7%
$6.00-$6.50
$12,606 Vol.
6%
$6.50-$7.00
$6,163 Vol.
9%
$7.00+
$14,910 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI compute demand continues to outpace incremental Blackwell B200 supply additions, anchoring trader consensus around sustained or higher rental rates by year-end. Current on-demand pricing spans roughly $3.50–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot or marketplace floors at $3.20–$3.75; Nebius’s announced 19% hike to $8.50 effective October 1 underscores supplier pricing power amid tight power, cooling, and data-center capacity. Recent 90-day stability at elevated levels, combined with long lead times for new clusters and hyperscaler premiums, supports the market-implied likelihood of $7.00+ outcomes while leaving room for modest softening if neocloud capacity accelerates faster than expected.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$75,724End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Strong AI compute demand continues to outpace incremental Blackwell B200 supply additions, anchoring trader consensus around sustained or higher rental rates by year-end. Current on-demand pricing spans roughly $3.50–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot or marketplace floors at $3.20–$3.75; Nebius’s announced 19% hike to $8.50 effective October 1 underscores supplier pricing power amid tight power, cooling, and data-center capacity. Recent 90-day stability at elevated levels, combined with long lead times for new clusters and hyperscaler premiums, supports the market-implied likelihood of $7.00+ outcomes while leaving room for modest softening if neocloud capacity accelerates faster than expected.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$75,724End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong AI compute demand continues to outpace incremental Blackwell B200 supply additions, anchoring trader consensus around sustained or higher rental rates by year-end. Current on-demand pricing spans roughly $3.50–$16 per GPU-hour across providers, with medians near $6.25 and spot or marketplace floors at $3.20–$3.75; Nebius’s announced 19% hike to $8.50 effective October 1 underscores supplier pricing power amid tight power, cooling, and data-center capacity. Recent 90-day stability at elevated levels, combined with long lead times for new clusters and hyperscaler premiums, supports the market-implied likelihood of $7.00+ outcomes while leaving room for modest softening if neocloud capacity accelerates faster than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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