Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU rental rates, with the Ornn H200 Index at approximately $3.85 per GPU-hour as of mid-May 2026—a 40% surge since March amid intense AI training demand outpacing supply. Spot market dynamics show Vast.ai median pricing at $3.48–$3.50 per hour (25th–75th percentile $2.72–$4.95), RunPod on-demand at $3.99 per hour, and limited availability under 40 instances, driven by hyperscaler utilization exceeding 95%. Key swing factor remains NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 28, detailing data center revenue, H200 shipments, and Blackwell ramp-up, which could signal relief or further constraints before the May 31 resolution. Prediction markets aggregate real capital at stake, pricing in these compute scarcity risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,734 Vol.
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.50
11%
↑ $5.00
24%
↑ $4.50
78%
↓ $3.00
15%
↓ $2.50
15%
↓ $2.00
8%
$14,734 Vol.
↑ $5.50
$93 Vol.
11%
↑ $5.00
$60 Vol.
24%
↑ $4.50
$234 Vol.
78%
↓ $3.00
$140 Vol.
15%
↓ $2.50
$137 Vol.
15%
↓ $2.00
$1,463 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU rental rates, with the Ornn H200 Index at approximately $3.85 per GPU-hour as of mid-May 2026—a 40% surge since March amid intense AI training demand outpacing supply. Spot market dynamics show Vast.ai median pricing at $3.48–$3.50 per hour (25th–75th percentile $2.72–$4.95), RunPod on-demand at $3.99 per hour, and limited availability under 40 instances, driven by hyperscaler utilization exceeding 95%. Key swing factor remains NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 28, detailing data center revenue, H200 shipments, and Blackwell ramp-up, which could signal relief or further constraints before the May 31 resolution. Prediction markets aggregate real capital at stake, pricing in these compute scarcity risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$14,734End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU rental rates, with the Ornn H200 Index at approximately $3.85 per GPU-hour as of mid-May 2026—a 40% surge since March amid intense AI training demand outpacing supply. Spot market dynamics show Vast.ai median pricing at $3.48–$3.50 per hour (25th–75th percentile $2.72–$4.95), RunPod on-demand at $3.99 per hour, and limited availability under 40 instances, driven by hyperscaler utilization exceeding 95%. Key swing factor remains NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 28, detailing data center revenue, H200 shipments, and Blackwell ramp-up, which could signal relief or further constraints before the May 31 resolution. Prediction markets aggregate real capital at stake, pricing in these compute scarcity risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$14,734End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sustained upward pressure on NVIDIA H200 GPU rental rates, with the Ornn H200 Index at approximately $3.85 per GPU-hour as of mid-May 2026—a 40% surge since March amid intense AI training demand outpacing supply. Spot market dynamics show Vast.ai median pricing at $3.48–$3.50 per hour (25th–75th percentile $2.72–$4.95), RunPod on-demand at $3.99 per hour, and limited availability under 40 instances, driven by hyperscaler utilization exceeding 95%. Key swing factor remains NVIDIA's Q1 earnings on May 28, detailing data center revenue, H200 shipments, and Blackwell ramp-up, which could signal relief or further constraints before the May 31 resolution. Prediction markets aggregate real capital at stake, pricing in these compute scarcity risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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