The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding lead in this box office market thanks to its dominant opening weekend and steady holdover performance that has already pushed its domestic total far ahead of other April releases. Strong presales, broad family appeal, and franchise momentum have driven consistent daily earnings reports that traders view as decisive heading into the May 31 cutoff. While the outcome looks highly likely at this stage, a surprise late surge from another April title fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth or a major promotional push could still create a narrow path to an upset before final tallies are locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest Domestically Grossing April Film on May 31?
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99.6%
Michael <1%
Mother Mary <1%
Wasteland Cop <1%
$259,284 Vol.
$259,284 Vol.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
100%
Michael
1%
Mother Mary
<1%
Wasteland Cop
<1%
You, Me & Tuscany
<1%
The Whistler
<1%
Lorne
<1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99.6%
Michael <1%
Mother Mary <1%
Wasteland Cop <1%
$259,284 Vol.
$259,284 Vol.
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
100%
Michael
1%
Mother Mary
<1%
Wasteland Cop
<1%
You, Me & Tuscany
<1%
The Whistler
<1%
Lorne
<1%
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding lead in this box office market thanks to its dominant opening weekend and steady holdover performance that has already pushed its domestic total far ahead of other April releases. Strong presales, broad family appeal, and franchise momentum have driven consistent daily earnings reports that traders view as decisive heading into the May 31 cutoff. While the outcome looks highly likely at this stage, a surprise late surge from another April title fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth or a major promotional push could still create a narrow path to an upset before final tallies are locked.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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