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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 71%

Callum Turner 11.2%

Jacob Elordi 3.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$2,175,715 Vol.

No Bond chosen 71%

Callum Turner 11.2%

Jacob Elordi 3.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$2,175,715 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$267,491 Vol.

71%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,356 Vol.

11%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$257,762 Vol.

3%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,351 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,569 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,036 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,755 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$84,410 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,347 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$121,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,340 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,175,715
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,175,715
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 71%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.