Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 23–24°C in Beijing on August 28, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass from the northwest. Persistent overcast conditions and precipitation are expected to limit daytime solar heating compared with the warmer, sunnier days earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the peak temperature, with outcomes sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of showers. Traders appear to price this meteorological setup heavily, consistent with climatological August norms moderated by the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
24°C 39%
23°C 28%
25°C 17%
22°C 16%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
11%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 28%
25°C 17%
22°C 16%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
16%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
17%
26°C
11%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a high near 23–24°C in Beijing on August 28, driven by an approaching frontal system that brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass from the northwest. Persistent overcast conditions and precipitation are expected to limit daytime solar heating compared with the warmer, sunnier days earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the peak temperature, with outcomes sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of showers. Traders appear to price this meteorological setup heavily, consistent with climatological August norms moderated by the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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