Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show variable conditions for Beijing on August 26, with consensus highs centered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid increasing cloud cover and possible scattered precipitation. This aligns with the seasonal transition after the Beginning of Autumn solar term, when average daily maxima decline from early-month peaks near 32°C toward late-August norms of 28–30°C. Recent strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high and interactions with upper-level cold vortices have introduced short-term cooling and moisture influences across northern China, creating genuine uncertainty between 25–28°C outcomes. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C as the highest temperature, reflecting model spread and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
14%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
15%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
8%
26°C 26%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$351 Vol.
14%
25°C
$8 Vol.
16%
26°C
$5 Vol.
26%
27°C
$20 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$20 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$141 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show variable conditions for Beijing on August 26, with consensus highs centered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid increasing cloud cover and possible scattered precipitation. This aligns with the seasonal transition after the Beginning of Autumn solar term, when average daily maxima decline from early-month peaks near 32°C toward late-August norms of 28–30°C. Recent strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high and interactions with upper-level cold vortices have introduced short-term cooling and moisture influences across northern China, creating genuine uncertainty between 25–28°C outcomes. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C as the highest temperature, reflecting model spread and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$213End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show variable conditions for Beijing on August 26, with consensus highs centered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid increasing cloud cover and possible scattered precipitation. This aligns with the seasonal transition after the Beginning of Autumn solar term, when average daily maxima decline from early-month peaks near 32°C toward late-August norms of 28–30°C. Recent strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high and interactions with upper-level cold vortices have introduced short-term cooling and moisture influences across northern China, creating genuine uncertainty between 25–28°C outcomes. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C as the highest temperature, reflecting model spread and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$213End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show variable conditions for Beijing on August 26, with consensus highs centered in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius amid increasing cloud cover and possible scattered precipitation. This aligns with the seasonal transition after the Beginning of Autumn solar term, when average daily maxima decline from early-month peaks near 32°C toward late-August norms of 28–30°C. Recent strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high and interactions with upper-level cold vortices have introduced short-term cooling and moisture influences across northern China, creating genuine uncertainty between 25–28°C outcomes. Traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C as the highest temperature, reflecting model spread and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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