Current model guidance for Qingdao on August 26 points to mostly cloudy skies and onshore flow moderating daytime maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with late-August climatology for this coastal Shandong site where sea breezes frequently cap heating. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in high-resolution runs, potential for brief clear intervals, and historical analogs where highs reach the low-30s before marine air stabilizes temperatures. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above stem from limited warming potential under expected humidity and light winds, while sub-31°C scenarios remain possible if thicker cloud cover or precipitation develops. Fresh updates from CMA or ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
20%
35°C or higher
4%
33°C 35%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$5 Vol.
35%
34°C
$12 Vol.
20%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Qingdao on August 26 points to mostly cloudy skies and onshore flow moderating daytime maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with late-August climatology for this coastal Shandong site where sea breezes frequently cap heating. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in high-resolution runs, potential for brief clear intervals, and historical analogs where highs reach the low-30s before marine air stabilizes temperatures. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above stem from limited warming potential under expected humidity and light winds, while sub-31°C scenarios remain possible if thicker cloud cover or precipitation develops. Fresh updates from CMA or ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model guidance for Qingdao on August 26 points to mostly cloudy skies and onshore flow moderating daytime maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with late-August climatology for this coastal Shandong site where sea breezes frequently cap heating. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in high-resolution runs, potential for brief clear intervals, and historical analogs where highs reach the low-30s before marine air stabilizes temperatures. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above stem from limited warming potential under expected humidity and light winds, while sub-31°C scenarios remain possible if thicker cloud cover or precipitation develops. Fresh updates from CMA or ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model guidance for Qingdao on August 26 points to mostly cloudy skies and onshore flow moderating daytime maxima near 28–30°C, aligning with late-August climatology for this coastal Shandong site where sea breezes frequently cap heating. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in high-resolution runs, potential for brief clear intervals, and historical analogs where highs reach the low-30s before marine air stabilizes temperatures. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above stem from limited warming potential under expected humidity and light winds, while sub-31°C scenarios remain possible if thicker cloud cover or precipitation develops. Fresh updates from CMA or ECMWF runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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