Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 high temperature reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with markets nearly split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer Florida, but afternoon sea breezes, convective cloud buildup, and potential isolated showers introduce variability in peak readings. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing can easily shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical August climatology places Miami averages near 90°F, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes outside the narrow 90-93°F range until the final model runs confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 43%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 43%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$87 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$354 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$100 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$404 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$820 Vol.
43%
92-93°F
$263 Vol.
43%
94-95°F
$150 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$74 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$55 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 high temperature reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with markets nearly split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer Florida, but afternoon sea breezes, convective cloud buildup, and potential isolated showers introduce variability in peak readings. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing can easily shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical August climatology places Miami averages near 90°F, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes outside the narrow 90-93°F range until the final model runs confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,642End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 high temperature reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with markets nearly split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer Florida, but afternoon sea breezes, convective cloud buildup, and potential isolated showers introduce variability in peak readings. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing can easily shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical August climatology places Miami averages near 90°F, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes outside the narrow 90-93°F range until the final model runs confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,642End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's August 23 high temperature reflects tight forecast uncertainty, with markets nearly split between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance indicate warm, humid conditions typical of late-summer Florida, but afternoon sea breezes, convective cloud buildup, and potential isolated showers introduce variability in peak readings. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing can easily shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical August climatology places Miami averages near 90°F, underscoring why traders assign low probability to extremes outside the narrow 90-93°F range until the final model runs confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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