Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a frontal system and increased cloud cover moderating daytime solar heating across Warsaw, driving trader consensus toward a peak near 21°C on August 22. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 20–22°C, with light rain or showers likely limiting temperature rise depending on exact timing and coverage. Minor differences in outcomes hinge on subtle variations in low-level wind flow, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing within regional models, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 22?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 22?
21°C 32%
20°C 21%
22°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
20°C 21%
22°C 16%
23°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10 Vol.
7%
20°C
$61 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$42 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$20 Vol.
6%
25°C
$100 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a frontal system and increased cloud cover moderating daytime solar heating across Warsaw, driving trader consensus toward a peak near 21°C on August 22. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 20–22°C, with light rain or showers likely limiting temperature rise depending on exact timing and coverage. Minor differences in outcomes hinge on subtle variations in low-level wind flow, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing within regional models, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$333End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a frontal system and increased cloud cover moderating daytime solar heating across Warsaw, driving trader consensus toward a peak near 21°C on August 22. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 20–22°C, with light rain or showers likely limiting temperature rise depending on exact timing and coverage. Minor differences in outcomes hinge on subtle variations in low-level wind flow, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing within regional models, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to a frontal system and increased cloud cover moderating daytime solar heating across Warsaw, driving trader consensus toward a peak near 21°C on August 22. Ensemble guidance shows highs clustered between 20–22°C, with light rain or showers likely limiting temperature rise depending on exact timing and coverage. Minor differences in outcomes hinge on subtle variations in low-level wind flow, humidity profiles, and boundary-layer mixing within regional models, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions as resolution approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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