Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Busan on August 22 amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain, which limit solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further moderate peak readings compared with inland sites, while any reduction in precipitation or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Typical August climatology shows daytime highs near 29–31°C, and the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-term model guidance on cloud timing and intensity ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 22?
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
34%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
35%
33°C
34%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Busan on August 22 amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain, which limit solar heating and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity further moderate peak readings compared with inland sites, while any reduction in precipitation or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C. Typical August climatology shows daytime highs near 29–31°C, and the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-term model guidance on cloud timing and intensity ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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