Current forecasts for Panama City indicate typical rainy-season nighttime conditions, with model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures clustered around 24–27°C on August 22. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers suppress radiative cooling after sunset, while light trade winds and urban heat island effects add modest variability. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 24°C, but short-term shifts in precipitation timing or brief clear spells can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh ensemble model runs from NOAA and regional agencies, noting that any stronger onshore flow or heavier overnight rain would favor the lower end of the distribution, while drier conditions support slightly warmer readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
27°C 38%
26°C 33%
25°C 27%
28°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
26°C 33%
25°C 27%
28°C 27%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
33%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City indicate typical rainy-season nighttime conditions, with model consensus pointing to minimum temperatures clustered around 24–27°C on August 22. High humidity, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers suppress radiative cooling after sunset, while light trade winds and urban heat island effects add modest variability. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 24°C, but short-term shifts in precipitation timing or brief clear spells can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh ensemble model runs from NOAA and regional agencies, noting that any stronger onshore flow or heavier overnight rain would favor the lower end of the distribution, while drier conditions support slightly warmer readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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