Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a peak temperature near 36°C for Chongqing on August 23, with daytime highs ranging 34–37°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, topographic heat trapping in the Sichuan Basin, and scattered thundershowers are the main variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover timing and storm intensity. Recent runs show consensus around these values, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 33–35°C but can spike higher without significant rainfall. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 35–37°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
9%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
28%
36°C
28%
37°C
21%
38°C or higher
15%
36°C 35%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
$176 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$70 Vol.
2%
31°C
$50 Vol.
4%
32°C
$237 Vol.
9%
33°C
$14 Vol.
11%
34°C
$1 Vol.
19%
35°C
$3 Vol.
28%
36°C
$2 Vol.
28%
37°C
$59 Vol.
21%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a peak temperature near 36°C for Chongqing on August 23, with daytime highs ranging 34–37°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, topographic heat trapping in the Sichuan Basin, and scattered thundershowers are the main variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover timing and storm intensity. Recent runs show consensus around these values, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 33–35°C but can spike higher without significant rainfall. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 35–37°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$799End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a peak temperature near 36°C for Chongqing on August 23, with daytime highs ranging 34–37°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, topographic heat trapping in the Sichuan Basin, and scattered thundershowers are the main variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover timing and storm intensity. Recent runs show consensus around these values, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 33–35°C but can spike higher without significant rainfall. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 35–37°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$799End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather currently indicate a peak temperature near 36°C for Chongqing on August 23, with daytime highs ranging 34–37°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, topographic heat trapping in the Sichuan Basin, and scattered thundershowers are the main variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover timing and storm intensity. Recent runs show consensus around these values, consistent with August climatology where average highs reach 33–35°C but can spike higher without significant rainfall. The tightly bunched market probabilities around 35–37°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions