Recent short-range model runs show Milan under weak high pressure with light northerly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 23, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 27–29 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 27–28 °C, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and Po Valley heat retention produce the tight spread seen in market prices. Recent observations, including a 31 °C reading on August 17, underscore the potential for brief warming spikes if subsidence strengthens, while any increase in low-level humidity or scattered showers could cap readings at 27 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS updates equally, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 27–29 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 23?
29°C or higher 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 26%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
26%
28°C
29%
29°C or higher
32%
29°C or higher 32%
28°C 29%
27°C 26%
26°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
1%
22°C
$40 Vol.
1%
23°C
$40 Vol.
1%
24°C
$47 Vol.
5%
25°C
$29 Vol.
5%
26°C
$34 Vol.
7%
27°C
$28 Vol.
26%
28°C
$45 Vol.
29%
29°C or higher
$133 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs show Milan under weak high pressure with light northerly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 23, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 27–29 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 27–28 °C, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and Po Valley heat retention produce the tight spread seen in market prices. Recent observations, including a 31 °C reading on August 17, underscore the potential for brief warming spikes if subsidence strengthens, while any increase in low-level humidity or scattered showers could cap readings at 27 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS updates equally, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 27–29 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$510End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs show Milan under weak high pressure with light northerly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 23, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 27–29 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 27–28 °C, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and Po Valley heat retention produce the tight spread seen in market prices. Recent observations, including a 31 °C reading on August 17, underscore the potential for brief warming spikes if subsidence strengthens, while any increase in low-level humidity or scattered showers could cap readings at 27 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS updates equally, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 27–29 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$510End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model runs show Milan under weak high pressure with light northerly flow and partly sunny conditions on August 23, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 27–29 °C. Ensemble guidance clusters around 27–28 °C, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud development, and Po Valley heat retention produce the tight spread seen in market prices. Recent observations, including a 31 °C reading on August 17, underscore the potential for brief warming spikes if subsidence strengthens, while any increase in low-level humidity or scattered showers could cap readings at 27 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS updates equally, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 27–29 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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