Forecast models for Milan indicate overnight lows on August 23 ranging primarily from 17–21°C, driven by clearing skies after thunderstorms on August 21 and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling. Recent shifts toward sunnier conditions on August 22 have raised minimum temperatures relative to the cooler, cloudier pattern earlier in the week, while urban heat retention and humidity levels limit further drops. Ensemble differences between sources—such as Met Office guidance near 21°C versus BBC projections around 17°C—stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 16–19°C. Traders weigh these model spreads against typical late-August climatology of 17–19°C lows, with new high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
22°C 29%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
9%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
$27 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$27 Vol.
29%
23°C or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan indicate overnight lows on August 23 ranging primarily from 17–21°C, driven by clearing skies after thunderstorms on August 21 and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling. Recent shifts toward sunnier conditions on August 22 have raised minimum temperatures relative to the cooler, cloudier pattern earlier in the week, while urban heat retention and humidity levels limit further drops. Ensemble differences between sources—such as Met Office guidance near 21°C versus BBC projections around 17°C—stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 16–19°C. Traders weigh these model spreads against typical late-August climatology of 17–19°C lows, with new high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan indicate overnight lows on August 23 ranging primarily from 17–21°C, driven by clearing skies after thunderstorms on August 21 and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling. Recent shifts toward sunnier conditions on August 22 have raised minimum temperatures relative to the cooler, cloudier pattern earlier in the week, while urban heat retention and humidity levels limit further drops. Ensemble differences between sources—such as Met Office guidance near 21°C versus BBC projections around 17°C—stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 16–19°C. Traders weigh these model spreads against typical late-August climatology of 17–19°C lows, with new high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Milan indicate overnight lows on August 23 ranging primarily from 17–21°C, driven by clearing skies after thunderstorms on August 21 and light winds favoring moderate radiative cooling. Recent shifts toward sunnier conditions on August 22 have raised minimum temperatures relative to the cooler, cloudier pattern earlier in the week, while urban heat retention and humidity levels limit further drops. Ensemble differences between sources—such as Met Office guidance near 21°C versus BBC projections around 17°C—stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, keeping probabilities tightly clustered near 16–19°C. Traders weigh these model spreads against typical late-August climatology of 17–19°C lows, with new high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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