Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on August 23 most likely between 32–36°C, with ensemble models from sources like GFS showing peaks near 33–35°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent convective activity and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing extremes above 36°C while sustaining values above the 30°C threshold. Recent model runs emphasize steering flow and moisture convergence as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
34°C 29%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
29%
35°C
25%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 29%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$537 Vol.
1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
1%
31°C
$81 Vol.
2%
32°C
$15 Vol.
6%
33°C
$39 Vol.
16%
34°C
$75 Vol.
29%
35°C
$4 Vol.
25%
36°C
$2 Vol.
14%
37°C
$575 Vol.
7%
38°C
$46 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on August 23 most likely between 32–36°C, with ensemble models from sources like GFS showing peaks near 33–35°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent convective activity and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing extremes above 36°C while sustaining values above the 30°C threshold. Recent model runs emphasize steering flow and moisture convergence as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,714End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on August 23 most likely between 32–36°C, with ensemble models from sources like GFS showing peaks near 33–35°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent convective activity and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing extremes above 36°C while sustaining values above the 30°C threshold. Recent model runs emphasize steering flow and moisture convergence as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,714End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature on August 23 most likely between 32–36°C, with ensemble models from sources like GFS showing peaks near 33–35°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent convective activity and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, preventing extremes above 36°C while sustaining values above the 30°C threshold. Recent model runs emphasize steering flow and moisture convergence as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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