Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and Sichuan Basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes as traders aggregate guidance from models emphasizing persistent high pressure with moderating humidity and possible cloud cover on the 21st. Recent observations of 36–38°C peaks earlier in the month have shifted consensus toward slightly cooler conditions without strong cold-air intrusions or heavy rain expected to suppress maxima further. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight steering flow and moisture as key variables that could tip results toward 32°C or 35°C if patterns shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 21?
33°C 35%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
35%
34°C
23%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 23%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
35%
34°C
23%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and Sichuan Basin topography typically produce August daily highs averaging 33–34°C, aligning with the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes as traders aggregate guidance from models emphasizing persistent high pressure with moderating humidity and possible cloud cover on the 21st. Recent observations of 36–38°C peaks earlier in the month have shifted consensus toward slightly cooler conditions without strong cold-air intrusions or heavy rain expected to suppress maxima further. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight steering flow and moisture as key variables that could tip results toward 32°C or 35°C if patterns shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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