Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a typical late-summer minimum near 27–29 °C on August 20 under humid subtropical conditions, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and monsoon influences keep overnight lows clustered tightly around the August climatological average of 26–28 °C, while variations in cloud cover or isolated convective activity could nudge the reading one degree higher or lower. Seasonal outlooks call for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, with no major tropical systems currently steering the pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 26%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 32%
26°C 26%
29°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$54 Vol.
1%
24°C
$126 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$39 Vol.
32%
29°C
$39 Vol.
18%
30°C
$47 Vol.
6%
31°C
$32 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a typical late-summer minimum near 27–29 °C on August 20 under humid subtropical conditions, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and monsoon influences keep overnight lows clustered tightly around the August climatological average of 26–28 °C, while variations in cloud cover or isolated convective activity could nudge the reading one degree higher or lower. Seasonal outlooks call for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, with no major tropical systems currently steering the pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,106End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a typical late-summer minimum near 27–29 °C on August 20 under humid subtropical conditions, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and monsoon influences keep overnight lows clustered tightly around the August climatological average of 26–28 °C, while variations in cloud cover or isolated convective activity could nudge the reading one degree higher or lower. Seasonal outlooks call for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, with no major tropical systems currently steering the pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,106End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a typical late-summer minimum near 27–29 °C on August 20 under humid subtropical conditions, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and monsoon influences keep overnight lows clustered tightly around the August climatological average of 26–28 °C, while variations in cloud cover or isolated convective activity could nudge the reading one degree higher or lower. Seasonal outlooks call for normal-to-above-normal temperatures through October, with no major tropical systems currently steering the pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Observatory over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders assessing the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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