Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate Taipei highs near 34–35°C for August 20 amid persistent summer heat, with afternoon thundershowers possible under unstable monsoon flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as cloud cover, timing of convection, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus favors moderate humidity and light winds that limit extreme peaks, while recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan underscore baseline warmth exceeding seasonal averages. Updated CWA guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation probability, key variables that traders monitor for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 20?
34°C 50%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
7%
34°C 50%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
20%
36°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate Taipei highs near 34–35°C for August 20 amid persistent summer heat, with afternoon thundershowers possible under unstable monsoon flow. These conditions create tight uncertainty between 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as cloud cover, timing of convection, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus favors moderate humidity and light winds that limit extreme peaks, while recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan underscore baseline warmth exceeding seasonal averages. Updated CWA guidance and satellite trends over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze influences and precipitation probability, key variables that traders monitor for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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