Trader sentiment for Manila's August 20 high temperature centers on active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with PAGASA forecasting 26–33°C amid ongoing heavy rainfall through August 20. Cloud cover and precipitation from enhanced moisture transport—sometimes indirectly boosted by distant tropical cyclones—typically suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating, favoring the market's leading outcomes near 30–32°C. Key variables include rainfall timing and intensity, which can drop highs toward 28–29°C under persistent overcast skies, versus clearer breaks allowing 33°C or higher if monsoon flow weakens. Humidity near 80–90% and light winds further moderate extremes, while short-term model updates from PAGASA and NOAA introduce the observed spread reflecting forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 20?
31°C 30%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 19%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
7%
29°C
$5 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
30%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$1 Vol.
11%
34°C
$126 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 20 high temperature centers on active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with PAGASA forecasting 26–33°C amid ongoing heavy rainfall through August 20. Cloud cover and precipitation from enhanced moisture transport—sometimes indirectly boosted by distant tropical cyclones—typically suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating, favoring the market's leading outcomes near 30–32°C. Key variables include rainfall timing and intensity, which can drop highs toward 28–29°C under persistent overcast skies, versus clearer breaks allowing 33°C or higher if monsoon flow weakens. Humidity near 80–90% and light winds further moderate extremes, while short-term model updates from PAGASA and NOAA introduce the observed spread reflecting forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$396End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's August 20 high temperature centers on active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with PAGASA forecasting 26–33°C amid ongoing heavy rainfall through August 20. Cloud cover and precipitation from enhanced moisture transport—sometimes indirectly boosted by distant tropical cyclones—typically suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating, favoring the market's leading outcomes near 30–32°C. Key variables include rainfall timing and intensity, which can drop highs toward 28–29°C under persistent overcast skies, versus clearer breaks allowing 33°C or higher if monsoon flow weakens. Humidity near 80–90% and light winds further moderate extremes, while short-term model updates from PAGASA and NOAA introduce the observed spread reflecting forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$396End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's August 20 high temperature centers on active southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with PAGASA forecasting 26–33°C amid ongoing heavy rainfall through August 20. Cloud cover and precipitation from enhanced moisture transport—sometimes indirectly boosted by distant tropical cyclones—typically suppress daytime maxima by limiting solar heating, favoring the market's leading outcomes near 30–32°C. Key variables include rainfall timing and intensity, which can drop highs toward 28–29°C under persistent overcast skies, versus clearer breaks allowing 33°C or higher if monsoon flow weakens. Humidity near 80–90% and light winds further moderate extremes, while short-term model updates from PAGASA and NOAA introduce the observed spread reflecting forecast uncertainty two days out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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