Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park indicate an August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads spanning the mid-80s to low-90s due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength along the coast. These factors limit full insolation and mixing, favoring trader consensus around 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes as the most likely resolution range under typical late-summer climatology. Upcoming model runs and updated NHC or local office briefings could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 19?
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 9%
84-85°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 34%
90-91°F 9%
84-85°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
75°F or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$296 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$431 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$172 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$794 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$406 Vol.
49%
88-89°F
$381 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$352 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$329 Vol.
3%
94°F or higher
$1,021 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park indicate an August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads spanning the mid-80s to low-90s due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength along the coast. These factors limit full insolation and mixing, favoring trader consensus around 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes as the most likely resolution range under typical late-summer climatology. Upcoming model runs and updated NHC or local office briefings could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow materialize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,248End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park indicate an August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads spanning the mid-80s to low-90s due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength along the coast. These factors limit full insolation and mixing, favoring trader consensus around 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes as the most likely resolution range under typical late-summer climatology. Upcoming model runs and updated NHC or local office briefings could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow materialize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,248End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble guidance for Central Park indicate an August 19 high near 84°F, with model spreads spanning the mid-80s to low-90s due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, and sea-breeze strength along the coast. These factors limit full insolation and mixing, favoring trader consensus around 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes as the most likely resolution range under typical late-summer climatology. Upcoming model runs and updated NHC or local office briefings could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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