Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a maximum temperature near 33–34°C on August 22 under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating daytime peaks. Official climatology places August averages around 32°C, rarely exceeding 35°C without clear skies and strong solar heating; incoming cloud cover or earlier rainfall can suppress readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest variability in the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine whether sufficient clearing occurs for a higher reading or persistent moisture keeps values capped near the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
34°C 33%
35°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 13%
$17,541 Vol.
$17,541 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
33%
35°C
29%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
34°C 33%
35°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 13%
$17,541 Vol.
$17,541 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
13%
34°C
33%
35°C
29%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a maximum temperature near 33–34°C on August 22 under typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating daytime peaks. Official climatology places August averages around 32°C, rarely exceeding 35°C without clear skies and strong solar heating; incoming cloud cover or earlier rainfall can suppress readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Model consensus shows modest variability in the timing and intensity of convection, creating the tight market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine whether sufficient clearing occurs for a higher reading or persistent moisture keeps values capped near the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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