Recent forecasts from meteorological sources consistently project a daily minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, amid moderate rain or thundershowers and highs around 32–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology in the subtropical region, where overnight lows average 25–26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 40% implied probability and 26–28°C capturing over 97% of the market, reflects model agreement on these conditions while accounting for minor forecast variability from steering patterns or precipitation intensity. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric shifts appear imminent to alter the range substantially before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 22?
28°C 54%
27°C 51%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
40%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 54%
27°C 51%
26°C 28%
25°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$53 Vol.
2%
23°C
$28 Vol.
2%
24°C
$28 Vol.
11%
25°C
$15 Vol.
14%
26°C
$15 Vol.
28%
27°C
$15 Vol.
40%
28°C
$36 Vol.
30%
29°C
$15 Vol.
7%
30°C
$156 Vol.
2%
31°C
$27 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources consistently project a daily minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, amid moderate rain or thundershowers and highs around 32–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology in the subtropical region, where overnight lows average 25–26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 40% implied probability and 26–28°C capturing over 97% of the market, reflects model agreement on these conditions while accounting for minor forecast variability from steering patterns or precipitation intensity. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric shifts appear imminent to alter the range substantially before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$414End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources consistently project a daily minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, amid moderate rain or thundershowers and highs around 32–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology in the subtropical region, where overnight lows average 25–26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 40% implied probability and 26–28°C capturing over 97% of the market, reflects model agreement on these conditions while accounting for minor forecast variability from steering patterns or precipitation intensity. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric shifts appear imminent to alter the range substantially before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$414End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological sources consistently project a daily minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on August 22, 2026, amid moderate rain or thundershowers and highs around 32–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology in the subtropical region, where overnight lows average 25–26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 40% implied probability and 26–28°C capturing over 97% of the market, reflects model agreement on these conditions while accounting for minor forecast variability from steering patterns or precipitation intensity. No major typhoon or anomalous atmospheric shifts appear imminent to alter the range substantially before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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