Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima near 31–33°C in Panama City on August 22, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%), 31°C (24.5%), and 33°C (24.0%). In the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels persistent afternoon convection, extensive cloud cover, and showers that moderate temperatures close to the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and typical steering patterns limit variability, with only modest upside from brief clear intervals. Traders assess these dynamics against historical data showing constrained day-to-day swings this time of year, with upcoming model updates and observational data likely to refine the narrow probability band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 22?
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
23%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$35 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
2%
30°C
$71 Vol.
9%
31°C
$5 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
40%
33°C
$41 Vol.
23%
34°C
$22 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$41 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima near 31–33°C in Panama City on August 22, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%), 31°C (24.5%), and 33°C (24.0%). In the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels persistent afternoon convection, extensive cloud cover, and showers that moderate temperatures close to the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and typical steering patterns limit variability, with only modest upside from brief clear intervals. Traders assess these dynamics against historical data showing constrained day-to-day swings this time of year, with upcoming model updates and observational data likely to refine the narrow probability band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$250End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima near 31–33°C in Panama City on August 22, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%), 31°C (24.5%), and 33°C (24.0%). In the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels persistent afternoon convection, extensive cloud cover, and showers that moderate temperatures close to the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and typical steering patterns limit variability, with only modest upside from brief clear intervals. Traders assess these dynamics against historical data showing constrained day-to-day swings this time of year, with upcoming model updates and observational data likely to refine the narrow probability band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$250End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather indicate daytime maxima near 31–33°C in Panama City on August 22, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%), 31°C (24.5%), and 33°C (24.0%). In the wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels persistent afternoon convection, extensive cloud cover, and showers that moderate temperatures close to the long-term August average of 30–32°C while suppressing spikes above 34°C. High humidity and typical steering patterns limit variability, with only modest upside from brief clear intervals. Traders assess these dynamics against historical data showing constrained day-to-day swings this time of year, with upcoming model updates and observational data likely to refine the narrow probability band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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