Marine layer depth and onshore flow patterns from the Pacific dominate uncertainty for Los Angeles's August 22 high, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing surface temperatures likely peaking in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate southwest winds. Persistent stratus and a weak thermal trough limit daytime heating compared to recent hot spells, while subtle variations in inversion strength and boundary-layer mixing could shift readings by 2–4°F across downtown stations. Historical late-August climatology places average highs near 84°F, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler conditions, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 76–83°F bins as traders weigh forecast updates expected from the National Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
17%
80-81°F
$14 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$19 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$25 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$25 Vol.
5%
92°F or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow patterns from the Pacific dominate uncertainty for Los Angeles's August 22 high, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing surface temperatures likely peaking in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate southwest winds. Persistent stratus and a weak thermal trough limit daytime heating compared to recent hot spells, while subtle variations in inversion strength and boundary-layer mixing could shift readings by 2–4°F across downtown stations. Historical late-August climatology places average highs near 84°F, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler conditions, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 76–83°F bins as traders weigh forecast updates expected from the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$172End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer depth and onshore flow patterns from the Pacific dominate uncertainty for Los Angeles's August 22 high, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing surface temperatures likely peaking in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate southwest winds. Persistent stratus and a weak thermal trough limit daytime heating compared to recent hot spells, while subtle variations in inversion strength and boundary-layer mixing could shift readings by 2–4°F across downtown stations. Historical late-August climatology places average highs near 84°F, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler conditions, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 76–83°F bins as traders weigh forecast updates expected from the National Weather Service.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$172End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer depth and onshore flow patterns from the Pacific dominate uncertainty for Los Angeles's August 22 high, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing surface temperatures likely peaking in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate southwest winds. Persistent stratus and a weak thermal trough limit daytime heating compared to recent hot spells, while subtle variations in inversion strength and boundary-layer mixing could shift readings by 2–4°F across downtown stations. Historical late-August climatology places average highs near 84°F, yet current model consensus favors slightly cooler conditions, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 76–83°F bins as traders weigh forecast updates expected from the National Weather Service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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