Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature for Los Angeles on August 20 most likely in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that caps daytime warming along the coast. This setup produces a strong temperature inversion, with cool, moist air trapped below roughly 1,000–2,000 feet, delaying clearing and limiting surface heating even under weak upper-level ridging. Traders see broad uncertainty across the 75–83°F bins because small differences in inversion strength, wind speed, or exact clearing time can shift the peak by several degrees; historical August analogs show coastal highs rarely exceed 85°F without strong offshore flow. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 20?
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
75°F or below 8%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 27%
75°F or below 8%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature for Los Angeles on August 20 most likely in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that caps daytime warming along the coast. This setup produces a strong temperature inversion, with cool, moist air trapped below roughly 1,000–2,000 feet, delaying clearing and limiting surface heating even under weak upper-level ridging. Traders see broad uncertainty across the 75–83°F bins because small differences in inversion strength, wind speed, or exact clearing time can shift the peak by several degrees; historical August analogs show coastal highs rarely exceed 85°F without strong offshore flow. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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