**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 20 centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 65% implied probability, with nearby values from 29–33°C clustered around 50%.** This positioning stems from climatological norms and short-term forecast guidance during Panama’s rainy season, when the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime maxima. Historical August highs in Panama City average near 30–32°C, rarely exceeding 34°C, as high humidity and sea-breeze influences promote scattered thunderstorms that reduce peak insolation after midday. Recent model consensus, including extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, projects a daytime maximum of 32°C for the 20th, aligning closely with the market’s strongest outcome and explaining the steep drop-off in probabilities for 34°C and above (3.5%) or sub-29°C readings (0.5%). No significant deviations from baseline tropical moisture patterns or anomalous steering flows have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with observed August conditions and official monitoring agency expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
32°C 34%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
29°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
14%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
34%
33°C
22%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
29°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
14%
30°C
$4 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
34%
33°C
$0 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 20 centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 65% implied probability, with nearby values from 29–33°C clustered around 50%.** This positioning stems from climatological norms and short-term forecast guidance during Panama’s rainy season, when the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime maxima.
Historical August highs in Panama City average near 30–32°C, rarely exceeding 34°C, as high humidity and sea-breeze influences promote scattered thunderstorms that reduce peak insolation after midday. Recent model consensus, including extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, projects a daytime maximum of 32°C for the 20th, aligning closely with the market’s strongest outcome and explaining the steep drop-off in probabilities for 34°C and above (3.5%) or sub-29°C readings (0.5%).
No significant deviations from baseline tropical moisture patterns or anomalous steering flows have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with observed August conditions and official monitoring agency expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$14End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 20 centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 65% implied probability, with nearby values from 29–33°C clustered around 50%.** This positioning stems from climatological norms and short-term forecast guidance during Panama’s rainy season, when the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime maxima.
Historical August highs in Panama City average near 30–32°C, rarely exceeding 34°C, as high humidity and sea-breeze influences promote scattered thunderstorms that reduce peak insolation after midday. Recent model consensus, including extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, projects a daytime maximum of 32°C for the 20th, aligning closely with the market’s strongest outcome and explaining the steep drop-off in probabilities for 34°C and above (3.5%) or sub-29°C readings (0.5%).
No significant deviations from baseline tropical moisture patterns or anomalous steering flows have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with observed August conditions and official monitoring agency expectations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 20 centers on 32°C as the leading outcome at 65% implied probability, with nearby values from 29–33°C clustered around 50%.** This positioning stems from climatological norms and short-term forecast guidance during Panama’s rainy season, when the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime maxima. Historical August highs in Panama City average near 30–32°C, rarely exceeding 34°C, as high humidity and sea-breeze influences promote scattered thunderstorms that reduce peak insolation after midday. Recent model consensus, including extended-range guidance from sources such as AccuWeather, projects a daytime maximum of 32°C for the 20th, aligning closely with the market’s strongest outcome and explaining the steep drop-off in probabilities for 34°C and above (3.5%) or sub-29°C readings (0.5%). No significant deviations from baseline tropical moisture patterns or anomalous steering flows have emerged in the latest updates, keeping trader focus on the narrow 31–33°C band consistent with observed August conditions and official monitoring agency expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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