Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C for Panama City on August 19, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 32°C during the rainy season when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically moderate peak heating. Historical data show highs rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 30°C in mid-August, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31–33°C outcomes. High humidity and potential for scattered showers introduce minor uncertainty in model runs, while the consensus favors the modal value without strong signals for significant deviation. Traders appear to be pricing in this climatological baseline as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 19?
32°C 46%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
46%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$23 Vol.
1%
29°C
$48 Vol.
3%
30°C
$225 Vol.
4%
31°C
$34 Vol.
25%
32°C
$115 Vol.
46%
33°C
$43 Vol.
22%
34°C
$15 Vol.
7%
35°C
$189 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C for Panama City on August 19, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 32°C during the rainy season when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically moderate peak heating. Historical data show highs rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 30°C in mid-August, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31–33°C outcomes. High humidity and potential for scattered showers introduce minor uncertainty in model runs, while the consensus favors the modal value without strong signals for significant deviation. Traders appear to be pricing in this climatological baseline as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$758End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C for Panama City on August 19, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 32°C during the rainy season when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically moderate peak heating. Historical data show highs rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 30°C in mid-August, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31–33°C outcomes. High humidity and potential for scattered showers introduce minor uncertainty in model runs, while the consensus favors the modal value without strong signals for significant deviation. Traders appear to be pricing in this climatological baseline as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$758End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C for Panama City on August 19, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 32°C during the rainy season when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically moderate peak heating. Historical data show highs rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 30°C in mid-August, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31–33°C outcomes. High humidity and potential for scattered showers introduce minor uncertainty in model runs, while the consensus favors the modal value without strong signals for significant deviation. Traders appear to be pricing in this climatological baseline as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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