Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 21–22°C for Munich on August 21, driven by an approaching frontal system expected to bring cloud cover, light rain showers, and reduced solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August highs near 22–23°C while contrasting the 27°C peak recorded just days prior on August 17. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–23°C outcomes because small variations in timing of precipitation, wind speed, or afternoon clearing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with limited upside risk for 24°C+ given the stable, moist air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
22°C 29%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 10%
$20,369 Vol.
$20,369 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
21%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
10%
22°C 29%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C or higher 10%
$20,369 Vol.
$20,369 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
10%
21°C
21%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 21–22°C for Munich on August 21, driven by an approaching frontal system expected to bring cloud cover, light rain showers, and reduced solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August highs near 22–23°C while contrasting the 27°C peak recorded just days prior on August 17. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21–23°C outcomes because small variations in timing of precipitation, wind speed, or afternoon clearing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with limited upside risk for 24°C+ given the stable, moist air mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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