Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Saturday high in Beijing likely between 31–33°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeasterly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These convective elements introduce the main uncertainty separating the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain could cap the peak near 31°C while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 34°C. Official station observations at the end of the day will resolve the market, with any last-minute model runs potentially shifting sentiment before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 22?
33°C 32%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
32%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
32%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a Saturday high in Beijing likely between 31–33°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions with southeasterly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and limit solar heating. These convective elements introduce the main uncertainty separating the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as heavier or earlier rain could cap the peak near 31°C while clearer intervals might allow brief warming to 34°C. Official station observations at the end of the day will resolve the market, with any last-minute model runs potentially shifting sentiment before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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