**Forecast models and observational data place Wuhan's expected high for August 22 in the narrow 34–36 °C band, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds.** Subtropical monsoon conditions dominate, with a mix of broken cloud cover, light northerly winds, and isolated afternoon thundershowers that limit surface heating and introduce small but decisive variability in the daily maximum. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, BBC) currently converges on 34–35 °C, reflecting typical late-August climatology of 31–35 °C highs tempered by elevated humidity and convective activity. Minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation coverage can easily swing the realized peak by 1–2 °C, which is why 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C together capture over 80 % of trader probability. Newer model runs and any updates to steering patterns or moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will be the primary drivers of further movement in these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 22?
35°C 35%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
35%
36°C
25%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
36°C 25%
34°C 24%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
29°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C
$0 Vol.
24%
35°C
$94 Vol.
35%
36°C
$43 Vol.
25%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C
$0 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data place Wuhan's expected high for August 22 in the narrow 34–36 °C band, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds.** Subtropical monsoon conditions dominate, with a mix of broken cloud cover, light northerly winds, and isolated afternoon thundershowers that limit surface heating and introduce small but decisive variability in the daily maximum.
Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, BBC) currently converges on 34–35 °C, reflecting typical late-August climatology of 31–35 °C highs tempered by elevated humidity and convective activity. Minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation coverage can easily swing the realized peak by 1–2 °C, which is why 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C together capture over 80 % of trader probability. Newer model runs and any updates to steering patterns or moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will be the primary drivers of further movement in these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$571End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data place Wuhan's expected high for August 22 in the narrow 34–36 °C band, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds.** Subtropical monsoon conditions dominate, with a mix of broken cloud cover, light northerly winds, and isolated afternoon thundershowers that limit surface heating and introduce small but decisive variability in the daily maximum.
Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, BBC) currently converges on 34–35 °C, reflecting typical late-August climatology of 31–35 °C highs tempered by elevated humidity and convective activity. Minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation coverage can easily swing the realized peak by 1–2 °C, which is why 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C together capture over 80 % of trader probability. Newer model runs and any updates to steering patterns or moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will be the primary drivers of further movement in these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$571End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data place Wuhan's expected high for August 22 in the narrow 34–36 °C band, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds.** Subtropical monsoon conditions dominate, with a mix of broken cloud cover, light northerly winds, and isolated afternoon thundershowers that limit surface heating and introduce small but decisive variability in the daily maximum. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, BBC) currently converges on 34–35 °C, reflecting typical late-August climatology of 31–35 °C highs tempered by elevated humidity and convective activity. Minor shifts in cloud timing or precipitation coverage can easily swing the realized peak by 1–2 °C, which is why 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C together capture over 80 % of trader probability. Newer model runs and any updates to steering patterns or moisture profiles over the next 48 hours will be the primary drivers of further movement in these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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