Recent forecast model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a cooling trend into the weekend, positioning a 23°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 22. An incoming Atlantic air mass with moderate northerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-week heat, yielding partly cloudy skies, possible light showers, and maximum temperatures clustered near the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized clearing or downside from heavier precipitation, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring these two bins. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 22?
23°C 49%
24°C 31%
22°C 15%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
49%
24°C
31%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 31%
22°C 15%
25°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
$47 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$56 Vol.
4%
22°C
$75 Vol.
15%
23°C
$310 Vol.
49%
24°C
$115 Vol.
31%
25°C
$122 Vol.
6%
26°C
$130 Vol.
2%
27°C
$87 Vol.
1%
28°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a cooling trend into the weekend, positioning a 23°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 22. An incoming Atlantic air mass with moderate northerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-week heat, yielding partly cloudy skies, possible light showers, and maximum temperatures clustered near the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized clearing or downside from heavier precipitation, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring these two bins. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,220End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a cooling trend into the weekend, positioning a 23°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 22. An incoming Atlantic air mass with moderate northerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-week heat, yielding partly cloudy skies, possible light showers, and maximum temperatures clustered near the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized clearing or downside from heavier precipitation, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring these two bins. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,220End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including Météo-France and European ensembles points to a cooling trend into the weekend, positioning a 23°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 22. An incoming Atlantic air mass with moderate northerly flow is expected to limit daytime warming after mid-week heat, yielding partly cloudy skies, possible light showers, and maximum temperatures clustered near the late-August climatological average of 23–24°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk from localized clearing or downside from heavier precipitation, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring these two bins. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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