Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under broken clouds and light westerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where average maxima hover near 22–24°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-range window, with no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected to push readings outside this narrow band. Traders have priced this stability into implied probabilities, favoring 23°C at 51% as the central tendency, while the 31% on 22°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
23°C 52%
22°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
31%
23°C
52%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 52%
22°C 31%
24°C 13%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$42 Vol.
1%
20°C
$441 Vol.
2%
21°C
$151 Vol.
5%
22°C
$105 Vol.
31%
23°C
$318 Vol.
52%
24°C
$206 Vol.
13%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$142 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$170 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under broken clouds and light westerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where average maxima hover near 22–24°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-range window, with no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected to push readings outside this narrow band. Traders have priced this stability into implied probabilities, favoring 23°C at 51% as the central tendency, while the 31% on 22°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,888End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under broken clouds and light westerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where average maxima hover near 22–24°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-range window, with no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected to push readings outside this narrow band. Traders have priced this stability into implied probabilities, favoring 23°C at 51% as the central tendency, while the 31% on 22°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,888End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a daytime high of 23–24°C in Moscow on August 23 under broken clouds and light westerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where average maxima hover near 22–24°C. Ensemble model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability through the short-range window, with no strong frontal passages or heat advection expected to push readings outside this narrow band. Traders have priced this stability into implied probabilities, favoring 23°C at 51% as the central tendency, while the 31% on 22°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover that could trim the peak by 1°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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