National Weather Service and private forecast models currently project a daily maximum temperature in Denver around 96–98°F for August 21, driven by persistent warm, dry air under high pressure with limited cloud cover or thunderstorm cooling expected during peak heating hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Front Range, where highs commonly reach the mid-90s before seasonal decline, and recent ensemble guidance shows only modest spread due to stable steering patterns. Trader consensus heavily favors the 96–97°F bin as the most probable outcome given these model runs, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast adjustments before final observations. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 21?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 21?
96-97°F 54%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 54%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
$93 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$101 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$50 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$13 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$89 Vol.
17%
96-97°F
$114 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$46 Vol.
27%
100-101°F
$49 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$42 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$93 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$53 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private forecast models currently project a daily maximum temperature in Denver around 96–98°F for August 21, driven by persistent warm, dry air under high pressure with limited cloud cover or thunderstorm cooling expected during peak heating hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Front Range, where highs commonly reach the mid-90s before seasonal decline, and recent ensemble guidance shows only modest spread due to stable steering patterns. Trader consensus heavily favors the 96–97°F bin as the most probable outcome given these model runs, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast adjustments before final observations. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$736End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private forecast models currently project a daily maximum temperature in Denver around 96–98°F for August 21, driven by persistent warm, dry air under high pressure with limited cloud cover or thunderstorm cooling expected during peak heating hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Front Range, where highs commonly reach the mid-90s before seasonal decline, and recent ensemble guidance shows only modest spread due to stable steering patterns. Trader consensus heavily favors the 96–97°F bin as the most probable outcome given these model runs, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast adjustments before final observations. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$736End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and private forecast models currently project a daily maximum temperature in Denver around 96–98°F for August 21, driven by persistent warm, dry air under high pressure with limited cloud cover or thunderstorm cooling expected during peak heating hours. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the Front Range, where highs commonly reach the mid-90s before seasonal decline, and recent ensemble guidance shows only modest spread due to stable steering patterns. Trader consensus heavily favors the 96–97°F bin as the most probable outcome given these model runs, while lower or higher bins reflect uncertainty from potential afternoon convection or slight forecast adjustments before final observations. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the last inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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