Trader sentiment for Denver’s August 19 high centers on uncertainty over monsoon moisture and afternoon convection modulating peak heating, splitting implied odds nearly evenly between 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places the most likely range near 87–91 °F, aligning with the date’s 87 °F climatological normal amid an overall warm August pattern. Recent record heat early in the month gave way to repeated thunderstorm activity, which has introduced variability through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and shifts in boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus favors isolated to scattered convection on the 19th; earlier cloud build-up could cap readings in the upper 80s while brief clearing might allow brief pushes toward 90–91 °F. Historical Front Range analogs show 2–4 °F spreads in daily maxima depending on outflow boundaries and insolation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 19?
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 8%
86-87°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 8%
86-87°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$337 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$170 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$240 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$189 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$461 Vol.
42%
90-91°F
$441 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$330 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$262 Vol.
2%
96°F or higher
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Denver’s August 19 high centers on uncertainty over monsoon moisture and afternoon convection modulating peak heating, splitting implied odds nearly evenly between 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places the most likely range near 87–91 °F, aligning with the date’s 87 °F climatological normal amid an overall warm August pattern. Recent record heat early in the month gave way to repeated thunderstorm activity, which has introduced variability through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and shifts in boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus favors isolated to scattered convection on the 19th; earlier cloud build-up could cap readings in the upper 80s while brief clearing might allow brief pushes toward 90–91 °F. Historical Front Range analogs show 2–4 °F spreads in daily maxima depending on outflow boundaries and insolation timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,647End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Denver’s August 19 high centers on uncertainty over monsoon moisture and afternoon convection modulating peak heating, splitting implied odds nearly evenly between 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places the most likely range near 87–91 °F, aligning with the date’s 87 °F climatological normal amid an overall warm August pattern. Recent record heat early in the month gave way to repeated thunderstorm activity, which has introduced variability through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and shifts in boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus favors isolated to scattered convection on the 19th; earlier cloud build-up could cap readings in the upper 80s while brief clearing might allow brief pushes toward 90–91 °F. Historical Front Range analogs show 2–4 °F spreads in daily maxima depending on outflow boundaries and insolation timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,647End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Denver’s August 19 high centers on uncertainty over monsoon moisture and afternoon convection modulating peak heating, splitting implied odds nearly evenly between 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places the most likely range near 87–91 °F, aligning with the date’s 87 °F climatological normal amid an overall warm August pattern. Recent record heat early in the month gave way to repeated thunderstorm activity, which has introduced variability through cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and shifts in boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus favors isolated to scattered convection on the 19th; earlier cloud build-up could cap readings in the upper 80s while brief clearing might allow brief pushes toward 90–91 °F. Historical Front Range analogs show 2–4 °F spreads in daily maxima depending on outflow boundaries and insolation timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions