Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Zhengzhou will likely see a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundery showers, and light northeasterly winds that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could either suppress peaks below 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around the 30°C (50.0%), 31°C (49.0%), and 32°C+ (48.5%) outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and typical late-summer humidity patterns that limit extreme excursions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
30°C 48%
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
48%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
47%
30°C 48%
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$85 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$80 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
47%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Zhengzhou will likely see a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundery showers, and light northeasterly winds that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could either suppress peaks below 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around the 30°C (50.0%), 31°C (49.0%), and 32°C+ (48.5%) outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and typical late-summer humidity patterns that limit extreme excursions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$370End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Zhengzhou will likely see a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundery showers, and light northeasterly winds that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could either suppress peaks below 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around the 30°C (50.0%), 31°C (49.0%), and 32°C+ (48.5%) outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and typical late-summer humidity patterns that limit extreme excursions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$370End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Zhengzhou will likely see a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 21 amid partly cloudy skies, scattered thundery showers, and light northeasterly winds that reduce solar insolation and surface heating. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, but afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could either suppress peaks below 31°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C. These factors explain the tight market clustering around the 30°C (50.0%), 31°C (49.0%), and 32°C+ (48.5%) outcomes, with traders weighting the latest ensemble guidance and typical late-summer humidity patterns that limit extreme excursions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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